Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.171749 0.196847 0.225312 0.260183 0.302022 0.350947 0.412984
2025-06-15 0.134956 0.168016 0.209667 0.266883 0.344857 0.449555 0.604566
2025-06-22 0.109096 0.143875 0.191090 0.261664 0.367743 0.526956 0.795904
2025-06-29 0.094083 0.129868 0.181452 0.264145 0.399308 0.623288 1.051187
2025-07-06 0.081882 0.117151 0.170473 0.260964 0.419631 0.706100 1.317837
2025-07-13 0.074266 0.109749 0.165783 0.266059 0.454081 0.823463 1.707830
2025-07-20 0.068325 0.103908 0.162332 0.272074 0.491141 0.957933 2.211430
2025-07-27 0.063313 0.098777 0.159081 0.277480 0.528066 1.105373 2.844711
2025-08-03 0.059369 0.094855 0.157211 0.284927 0.571082 1.283974 3.706589
2025-08-10 0.055324 0.090218 0.153307 0.287413 0.603632 1.450234 4.680104
2025-08-17 0.051615 0.085729 0.149014 0.288188 0.632349 1.619334 5.844654
2025-08-24 0.048080 0.081160 0.143941 0.286287 0.653896 1.778033 7.161564
2025-08-31 0.044560 0.076330 0.137895 0.281466 0.667617 1.923332 8.648553
2025-09-07 0.042627 0.074334 0.137358 0.289539 0.720294 2.236528 11.681339
2025-09-14 0.039690 0.070090 0.131618 0.283946 0.731482 2.402886 14.124589
2025-09-21 0.037745 0.067624 0.129368 0.286742 0.769876 2.707968 18.502337
2025-09-28 0.035506 0.064356 0.124986 0.283233 0.787068 2.934565 22.944449
2025-10-05 0.034130 0.062732 0.124074 0.288879 0.837759 3.364057 31.527518
2025-10-12 0.032927 0.061354 0.123554 0.295545 0.895053 3.883848 44.551451
2025-10-19 0.031767 0.059961 0.122831 0.301539 0.952679 4.469049 63.747137
2025-10-26 0.030816 0.058933 0.122856 0.309798 1.023321 5.223716 96.173157
2025-11-02 0.029627 0.057279 0.121170 0.312557 1.072685 5.900881 138.754492
2025-11-09 0.028427 0.055505 0.118994 0.313418 1.114723 6.587828 199.627347